Glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists

Congenital heart defects

R analysis
id Study   Lib. in paper Exposition period    Study type  Control type 
 
Tags OR 95%CI x1/n1 x0/n0 no cases no exposed ROB Ref.
S18829
R80176
Lewin, 2025 Cardiac malformations during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) excluded retrospective cohort (claims database) unexposed, sick Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) 1.02 [0.92;1.13] C
excluded (exposition period)
509/40,929   1,597/131,279 2,106 40,929
ref
S18787
R79958
Cesta_Israel, 2024 Cardiac malformations 1st trimester retrospective cohort (claims database) exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) 0.82 [0.05;14.36] C 0/20   13/447 13 20
ref
S18785
R79950
Cesta_Nordic, 2024 Cardiac malformations 1st trimester population based cohort retrospective exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) 0.39 [0.10;1.56] -/110   147/3,164 - 110
ref
S18786
R79954
Cesta_USA, 2024 Cardiac malformations 1st trimester retrospective cohort (claims database) exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) 0.49 [0.21;1.14] 6/331   58/1,583 64 331
ref
Total 3 studies 0.48 [0.24;0.96] 77 461
x1: number of endpoints among exposed, n1: number of exposed; x0: number of endpoints among non exposed, n0: number of non exposed; C: calculated odds ratio from numbers of events and effectives

Forest plot

StudyTE95% CIn casesn exposedweightROBABCDEF Cesta_Israel, 2024Cesta_Israel, 2024 0.82[0.05; 14.36]13206%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: moderateROB classification: criticalROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Cesta_Nordic, 2024Cesta_Nordic, 2024 0.39[0.10; 1.56]-11026%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: moderateROB classification: criticalROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Cesta_USA, 2024Cesta_USA, 2024 0.49[0.21; 1.14]6433168%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: moderateROB classification: criticalROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Total (3 studies) I2 = 0% 0.48[0.24; 0.96]774610.22.01.0ROB: A: confounding, B: selection, C: classification, D: missing, E: measurement, F: reportinglow,moderate,serious,critical,unclear,

Sensitivity analysis

SubsetTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2 Type of studies cohort studiescohort studies 0.48[0.24; 0.96]774610%NACesta_Israel, 2024 Cesta_Nordic, 2024 Cesta_USA, 2024 3 case control studiescase control studies 0 Type of controls exposed to other treatment, sickexposed to other treatment, sick 0.48[0.24; 0.96]774610%NACesta_Israel, 2024 Cesta_Nordic, 2024 Cesta_USA, 2024 3 Tags Adjustment   - No  - No 0.48[0.24; 0.96]774610%NACesta_Israel, 2024 Cesta_Nordic, 2024 Cesta_USA, 2024 3 GLP1-RA indication   - Type 2 diabetes (T2D)  - Type 2 diabetes (T2D) 0.48[0.24; 0.96]774610%NACesta_Israel, 2024 Cesta_Nordic, 2024 Cesta_USA, 2024 3 All studiesAll studies 0.48[0.24; 0.96]774610%NACesta_Israel, 2024 Cesta_Nordic, 2024 Cesta_USA, 2024 30.110.01.0

Publication bias and p-hacking diagnosis

funnel plot

Funnel plot not drawn. Less than 3 points.

Asymetry test p-value = NaN (by Egger's regression)

not enought points

p values plot

Funnel plot not drawn. Less than 3 points.

Sub-groups analysis using all included studies

excluded

Sub-groupsTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2ROB type of controls exposed to other treatment, sick controlsexposed to other treatment, sick controls Out of scale0.48[0.24; 0.96]2154610%NACesta_Israel, 2024 Cesta_Nordic, 2024 Cesta_USA, 2024 30.510.01.0

Umbrella review (other published meta-analyses)

Published MAControlPeriodTE95% CIn exposedkI2 Armstrong (Congenital Heart Defects)Armstrong (Congenital Heart Defects) 0.62[0.41; 0.95]0%-Wwhatever (meta-analysis)T11st trimesterstudies TTT-9 Armstrong (Congenital Heart Defects)Armstrong (Congenital Heart Defects) 0.63[0.42; 0.95]0%-Wwhatever (meta-analysis)Before-Any3 months (or more) before pregnancy or during pregnancystudies TTT-9 metaPregmetaPreg Out of scale0.48[0.24; 0.96]0%461----Cesta_Israel, 2024 Cesta_Nordic, 2024 Cesta_USA, 2024 30.510.01.0