Glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists

Preterm (< 37 weeks)

R analysis
id Study   Lib. in paper Exposition period    Study type  Control type 
 
Tags OR 95%CI x1/n1 x0/n0 no cases no exposed ROB Ref.
S18797
R80003
Chou, 2025 Preterm birth (<37 weeks) 1st trimester population based cohort retrospective exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) 1.35 [0.95;1.91] 26/66   74/253 100 66
ref
S18794
R79984
Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls exposed to insulin), 2025 Preterm birth (22-37 SA) 1st trimester retrospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Mixed (Diabetes and/or Overweight) or Unspecified 0.83 [0.27;2.15]
excluded (control group)
6/30   122/527 128 30
ref
S18796
R79991
Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025 Preterm birth (22-37 SA) 1st trimester retrospective cohort unexposed (general population or NOS) Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Mixed (Diabetes and/or Overweight) or Unspecified 4.95 [1.65;12.43] 6/30   4,846/100,788 4,852 30
ref
S18829
R80166
Lewin, 2025 Preterm delivery (22 to <37 weeks) during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) retrospective cohort (claims database) unexposed, sick Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) 1.14 [1.11;1.17] C 9,442/40,929   27,358/131,279 36,800 40,929
ref
S18782
R79924
Maya, 2025 Preterm delivery (28-36 weeks’ gestation) 3 months or more before pregnancy or1st trimester excluded retrospective cohort unexposed (general population or NOS) Adjustment: Yes GLP1-RA indication: Mixed (Diabetes and/or Overweight) or Unspecified Matched 1.21 [0.96;1.53]
excluded (exposition period)
99/566   223/1,698 322 566
ref
S18788
R79972
Pondugula, 2025 Preterm birth (birth between 20 0/7 and 36 6/7 weeks of gestation) early pregnancy retrospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Overweight/Obesity 1.66 [0.80;3.45] C 14/90   20/200 34 90
ref
S18768
R79860
Dao (Controls exposed to metformin/insulin), 2024 Preterm (<37 weeks of gestation after last menstrual period) 1st trimester prospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Mixed (Diabetes and/or Overweight) or Unspecified 0.49 [0.21;1.13] C
excluded (control group)
9/113   19/126 28 113
ref
S18806
R80016
Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024 Preterm (<37 weeks of gestation after last menstrual period) 1st trimester prospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No GLP1-RA indication: Mixed (Diabetes and/or Overweight) or Unspecified 0.51 [0.22;1.19] C 9/113   17/117 26 113
ref
Total 5 studies 1.32 [0.91;1.91] 41,812 41,228
x1: number of endpoints among exposed, n1: number of exposed; x0: number of endpoints among non exposed, n0: number of non exposed; C: calculated odds ratio from numbers of events and effectives

Forest plot

StudyTE95% CIn casesn exposedweightROBABCDEF Chou, 2025Chou, 2025 1.35[0.95; 1.91]1006627%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: moderateROB classification: criticalROB missing: lowROB mesure: criticalROB reporting: moderate Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025Kolding - Semaglutide, 2025 1 4.95[1.65; 12.43]4,8523010%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: lowROB classification: moderateROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Lewin, 2025Lewin, 2025 1.14[1.11; 1.17]36,80040,92936%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: lowROB classification: moderateROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Pondugula, 2025Pondugula, 2025 1.66[0.80; 3.45]349015%ROB confusion: seriousROB selection: unclearROB classification: criticalROB missing: lowROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024Dao, 2024 2 0.51[0.22; 1.19]2611312%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: moderateROB classification: moderateROB missing: unclearROB mesure: criticalROB reporting: moderate Total (5 studies) I2 = 70% 1.32[0.91; 1.91]41,81241,2280.210.01.0ROB: A: confounding, B: selection, C: classification, D: missing, E: measurement, F: reportinglow,moderate,serious,critical,unclear,

1: Controls unexposed, general pop; 2: Controls unexposed, sick;

Sensitivity analysis

SubsetTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2 Type of studies cohort studiescohort studies 1.32[0.91; 1.91]41,81241,22870%NAChou, 2025 Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025 Lewin, 2025 Pondugula, 2025 Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024 5 case control studiescase control studies 0 Type of controls unexposed (disease free or unspecified)unexposed (disease free or unspecified) 4.95[1.80; 13.59]4,85230 -NAKolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025 1 unexposed, sickunexposed, sick 1.06[0.67; 1.69]36,86041,13255%NALewin, 2025 Pondugula, 2025 Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024 3 exposed to other treatment, sickexposed to other treatment, sick 1.35[0.95; 1.91]10066 -NAChou, 2025 1 Tags Adjustment   - No  - No 1.32[0.91; 1.91]41,81241,22870%NAChou, 2025 Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025 Lewin, 2025 Pondugula, 2025 Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024 5 GLP1-RA indication   - Mixed (Diabetes and/or Overweight) ...  - Mixed (Diabetes and/or Overweight) or Unspecified 1.56[0.17; 14.50]4,87814391%NAKolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025 Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024 2   - Overweight/Obesity  - Overweight/Obesity 1.66[0.80; 3.45]3490 -NAPondugula, 2025 1   - Type 2 diabetes (T2D)  - Type 2 diabetes (T2D) 1.14[1.11; 1.17]36,90040,9950%NAChou, 2025 Lewin, 2025 2 All studiesAll studies 1.32[0.91; 1.91]41,81241,22870%NAChou, 2025 Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025 Lewin, 2025 Pondugula, 2025 Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024 50.210.01.0

Publication bias and p-hacking diagnosis

funnel plot
0.0-1.91.90.6180.000Chou, 2025Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025Lewin, 2025Pondugula, 2025Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024

Asymetry test p-value = 0.5028 (by Egger's regression)

slope=0.1198 (0.0307); intercept=0.7717 (1.0161); t=0.7595; p=0.5028

p values plot
0.01.00.01.0

Sub-groups analysis using all included studies

excluded 18768, 18794

Sub-groupsTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2ROB type of controls unexposed controls (disease free or unspecified)unexposed controls (disease free or unspecified) 4.95[1.80; 13.59]4,85230 -NAKolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025 1 unexposed, sick controlsunexposed, sick controls 1.06[0.67; 1.69]36,86041,13255%NALewin, 2025 Pondugula, 2025 Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024 3 exposed to other treatment, sick controlsexposed to other treatment, sick controls 0.89[0.46; 1.74]25620962%NAChou, 2025 Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls exposed to insulin), 2025 Dao (Controls exposed to metformin/insulin), 2024 30.510.01.0

Umbrella review (other published meta-analyses)

Published MAControlPeriodTE95% CIn exposedkI2 Armstrong (Preterm delivery)Armstrong (Preterm delivery) 1.66[0.23; 12.23]98%-Wwhatever (meta-analysis)Before-Any3 months (or more) before pregnancy or during pregnancystudies TTT-9 Armstrong (Preterm delivery before 37 weeks)Armstrong (Preterm delivery before 37 weeks) 0.92[0.30; 2.76]84%-Wwhatever (meta-analysis)T11st trimesterstudies TTT-9 metaPregmetaPreg 1.32[0.91; 1.91]70%41,228----Chou, 2025 Kolding - Semaglutide (Controls unexposed, general pop), 2025 Lewin, 2025 Pondugula, 2025 Dao (Controls unexposed, sick), 2024 50.510.01.0